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Rupee weakness could erase petrol diesel relief as SBI warns costs rise fast with any more depreciation
Economy
Published on 16 May 2026

Another Rs 2 rupee drop could neutralize fuel hike benefits
SBI Research warns the rupee is at a critical depreciation threshold, where any further fall could cancel out benefits from the recent Rs 3 per litre petrol and diesel price hike. The report says even an extra Rs 2 depreciation increases the effective crude oil price, raising landed import costs enough to fully offset the relief to Oil Marketing Companies. OMC under-recoveries are soaring to about Rs 1,000 crore per day, and SBI also flags inflation and external risks from crude market pressures.
- SBI says a further Rs 2 rupee depreciation raises effective crude costs
- The Rs 3 per litre petrol diesel hike targets OMC under-recoveries
- OMCs are losing about Rs 1,000 crore per day, or Rs 3.6 lakh crore annually
- Relief from the hike is estimated at Rs 52,700 crore, ~15% of FY27 losses
- Landed crude cost is projected near Rs 9,964 per barrel under assumptions
- Fuel hike may lift May-June CPI inflation by 15-20 bps; FY27 forecast 4.7%
Read the full story at Republic
This summarization was done by Beige for a story published on
Republic
