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Rupee weakness could erase petrol diesel relief as SBI warns costs rise fast with any more depreciation

Economy
Published on 16 May 2026
Rupee weakness could erase petrol diesel relief as SBI warns costs rise fast with any more depreciation

Another Rs 2 rupee drop could neutralize fuel hike benefits

SBI Research warns the rupee is at a critical depreciation threshold, where any further fall could cancel out benefits from the recent Rs 3 per litre petrol and diesel price hike. The report says even an extra Rs 2 depreciation increases the effective crude oil price, raising landed import costs enough to fully offset the relief to Oil Marketing Companies. OMC under-recoveries are soaring to about Rs 1,000 crore per day, and SBI also flags inflation and external risks from crude market pressures.

  • SBI says a further Rs 2 rupee depreciation raises effective crude costs
  • The Rs 3 per litre petrol diesel hike targets OMC under-recoveries
  • OMCs are losing about Rs 1,000 crore per day, or Rs 3.6 lakh crore annually
  • Relief from the hike is estimated at Rs 52,700 crore, ~15% of FY27 losses
  • Landed crude cost is projected near Rs 9,964 per barrel under assumptions
  • Fuel hike may lift May-June CPI inflation by 15-20 bps; FY27 forecast 4.7%
Read the full story at Republic

This summarization was done by Beige for a story published on RepublicRepublic

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