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WMO warns El Nino likely by May July 2026 with hotter land and shifting rains
Science
Published on 25 April 2026
Above normal land heat could dominate worldwide
The World Meteorological Organisation says the Equatorial Pacific is shifting as sea surface temperatures rise, making a return of El Niño likely by May to July 2026. Its Global Seasonal Climate Update also predicts nearly global dominance of above normal land surface temperatures, alongside uneven rainfall patterns across regions—raising concerns for heat stress and water planning worldwide.
- WMO sees El Niño conditions likely to return by May to July 2026
- Rising Equatorial Pacific temperatures are driving the forecast
- Above normal land surface temperatures may dominate globally
- Rainfall is expected to vary sharply by region
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