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Real oil price under Iran crisis diverges sharply from what markets show
Economy
Published on 24 April 2026

On-the-spot oil is suddenly far pricier than futures imply
An Iran crisis is exposing a gap between “paper” oil prices and the cost of actually buying barrels. Futures markets price in expectations of eventual calm, but physical markets are reacting to immediate scarcity. Disrupted shipping and higher freight costs are inflating spot prices, creating big global disparities that traders and consumers feel right away.
- Futures pricing reflects expectations, not immediate supply stress
- Spot markets show scarcity from disrupted shipping routes
- Freight surges are driving a wide physical price gap
- Global disparities widen when physical delivery gets harder
Read the full story at The Economic Times
This summarization was done by Beige for a story published on
The Economic Times
