IMF warns conflict through 2027 could wreck growth as oil may hit 125

Published on 5 May 2026

Oil at 125 could unanchor inflation expectations

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva warns the global economy could face a much worse outcome if the Middle East conflict drags into 2027. She cautioned that oil prices may climb to $125 per barrel, weighing on growth and de-anchoring inflation expectations. The IMF also flags risks from physical oil shortages.

IMF warns a “much worse outcome” if conflict lasts to 2027
Oil could reach $125 per barrel, pressuring global growth
Inflation expectations may become de-anchored
Physical oil shortages add further risk

#inflation #imf #middle east #oil prices #global economy

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IMF warns conflict through 2027 could wreck growth as oil may hit 125

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