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Monsoon hits Kerala May 26 six days early while IMD warns 2026 rain will be below normal

Monsoon hits Kerala May 26 six days early while IMD warns 2026 rain will be below normal

India’s southwest monsoon is expected to begin over Kerala on May 26, six days earlier than the normal June 1 date, according to IMD. The early onset matters because it kickstarts sowing of kharif crops such as rice, pulses, oilseeds, cotton and sugarcane. But the season comes with a warning: IMD forecasts 2026 rainfall at 92% of the long-period average, citing El Nino concerns. Meanwhile, heatwave to severe heatwave conditions persist over northwest and central India.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026
Super El Nino Could Hit 2026 With 70% Odds—Experts Warn It May Cut India Monsoon Near 92%

Super El Nino Could Hit 2026 With 70% Odds—Experts Warn It May Cut India Monsoon Near 92%

Forecasters are warning that a powerful Super El Niño could form in 2026, following the decline of current La Niña conditions. Reports cite around a 70% chance of El Niño developing by June, with major climate agencies linking El Niño to higher global temperatures and major weather disruption. If a super event emerges, experts fear India’s monsoon could weaken, with rainfall potentially falling to about 92% of the long-period average, straining agriculture worldwide and fueling food inflation.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026

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Southwest monsoon likely hits Kerala on May 26 five days early IMD warns of below normal rains

Southwest monsoon likely hits Kerala on May 26 five days early IMD warns of below normal rains

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) expects the Southwest Monsoon to set in over Kerala on May 26, about five days ahead of its usual June 1 onset. IMD says the timing could shift up to four days earlier or later. Favourable conditions are already building over the south Bay of Bengal, the Andaman Sea, and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, where the monsoon typically begins around May 20. IMD also projects seasonal rainfall of 80 cm versus a long-term average of 87 cm, citing El Nino.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026
Northeast Frontier Railway installs automatic weather stations to outsmart monsoon floods and landslides

Northeast Frontier Railway installs automatic weather stations to outsmart monsoon floods and landslides

Northeast Frontier Railway has begun installing automatic weather stations at monsoon-vulnerable stretches to strengthen safety and disaster readiness. Three stations are already operational, with six more in installation and expected to be completed by the end of May. The network, built in coordination with the India Meteorological Department, will deliver real-time, location-specific data for faster preventive actions during floods, landslides, and other adverse conditions. Stations will cover key routes in Assam, Mizoram, and Manipur.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026
Himalayas saw 1.2 million disaster impacts in 2025 as ICIMOD warns multi hazard risks rising

Himalayas saw 1.2 million disaster impacts in 2025 as ICIMOD warns multi hazard risks rising

An ICIMOD analysis says the Hindu Kush Himalaya region saw 10 major disasters affecting about 1.2 million people in 2025, with floods and landslides driven by intense monsoon rains across Bangladesh, India, Nepal, and Pakistan. The report warns the growing threat stems from more frequent multi-hazard events occurring together. While deaths and people affected have declined after 2013, analysts caution that data gaps remain. Economic losses were over $6 billion in 2024, highlighting huge stakes for preparedness.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 14 May 2026
IMD unveils AI monsoon forecasting to predict rains up to four weeks ahead for farmers

IMD unveils AI monsoon forecasting to predict rains up to four weeks ahead for farmers

India Meteorological Department has launched an AI-enabled monsoon advance forecasting system, along with a high-resolution spatial rainfall forecast for Uttar Pradesh. The services are designed to deliver precise, location-specific rainfall information up to four weeks in advance. IMD says this will help farmers and other stakeholders make better decisions as monsoon planning depends on timely and accurate weather forecasts.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 14 May 2026

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Global rice output set to drop for first time in a decade as stockpiles shrink

Global rice output set to drop for first time in a decade as stockpiles shrink

Global rice production is forecast to fall for the first time in a decade as declines in India, Myanmar, and the US collide with record consumption and trade. That mix is expected to reduce global stockpiles just as costs rise, with higher fertilizer and energy bills and possible monsoon disruptions in India adding further risk to supplies.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 14 May 2026
Monsoon to surge over Bay of Bengal as Delhi Varanasi and Raipur get storms amid heatwave

Monsoon to surge over Bay of Bengal as Delhi Varanasi and Raipur get storms amid heatwave

Delhi, Varanasi and Raipur are seeing rain and storm activity as the southwest monsoon is forecast to advance over parts of the Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea. The development comes despite severe heatwave conditions persisting across northwestern and central India, highlighting how quickly weather patterns are shifting across regions. IMD updates are key for next-day disruptions.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 13 May 2026
India’s IMD launches AI monsoon forecasts and 1 km rainfall model to predict weather where it matters

India’s IMD launches AI monsoon forecasts and 1 km rainfall model to predict weather where it matters

India has unveiled two AI-enabled weather services: an advance monsoon forecast for 16 states and 3,000+ sub-districts, and a 1 km resolution rainfall model piloted in Uttar Pradesh. Built with IMD, IITM Pune and NCMRWF, the systems deliver hyper-local, probabilistic guidance up to four weeks and ten days ahead—supporting farmers, disaster response and infrastructure planning.

Summarised by Beize from a story on IndianWeb2 on 13 May 2026
Metro projects from Bengaluru to Mumbai to Pune face monsoon havoc on construction corridors

Metro projects from Bengaluru to Mumbai to Pune face monsoon havoc on construction corridors

As India’s monsoon season intensifies, metro construction sites across Bengaluru, Mumbai, and Pune are running into unexpected flooding and waterlogging along key corridors. From drainage gaps to disrupted timelines, contractors are forced to redesign schedules, rethink alignment choices, and manage recurring water risks. The result: delays that ripple into cost and commuter expectations.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Ken on 13 May 2026

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Farmers rethink kharif crop choice as monsoon fears spark shift from paddy to soybean and pulses

Farmers rethink kharif crop choice as monsoon fears spark shift from paddy to soybean and pulses

With kharif season nearing, farmers are increasingly turning to soybean and pulses like urad and masur, driven by fears of erratic monsoons and potential fertilizer shortages. After a recent surge, maize planting is expected to fall as growers prefer crops that need less fertilizer and carry lower risk in unpredictable weather.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 12 May 2026
Mumbai Faces 10% Water Cut From May 15 as Seven Lakes Hit Danger Levels

Mumbai Faces 10% Water Cut From May 15 as Seven Lakes Hit Danger Levels

The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) has ordered a 10% cut in Mumbai’s water supply starting May 15. The decision follows a sharp fall in the city’s seven lakes to 23.5%, driven by rising temperatures and growing worries that the monsoon could arrive late and below average. The BMC linked the outlook to El Nino conditions.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 11 May 2026
HSBC cuts India FY27 GDP forecast to 6% and warns of two RBI rate hikes

HSBC cuts India FY27 GDP forecast to 6% and warns of two RBI rate hikes

HSBC expects India’s growth to cool to 6% in FY27, citing an energy crisis and insufficient rainfall. The same pressures are forecast to lift inflation, putting the Reserve Bank under pressure. HSBC says the RBI could raise rates twice this fiscal year, with the impact expected to hit the formal sector, rural households, and small businesses hardest.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 11 May 2026
Iran war and fading tax boosts could drag India growth to 6.7% in FY27 BMI warns

Iran war and fading tax boosts could drag India growth to 6.7% in FY27 BMI warns

India’s growth is projected to cool in FY27 to 6.7% as the lift from recent tax cuts fades and crude oil prices rise. BMI warns these pressures could weigh on consumption and investment while nudging inflation higher. With weak economic momentum already visible, an Iran-linked oil shock and a potentially weaker monsoon add fresh downside risks.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 11 May 2026

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Modi urges water saving and Mission LiFE push before monsoon warns of misuse

Modi urges water saving and Mission LiFE push before monsoon warns of misuse

Ahead of the monsoon, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged stronger water conservation and more prudent management, pressing farmers to shift to better irrigation practices. He also promoted the government’s Mission LiFE for environmentally responsible living. Modi further credited India’s youth for leadership in digital payments, infrastructure and startups, adding that broad social participation is essential to meet national goals.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 10 May 2026
NDMC unveils robotic monsoon plan with CCTV GIS and drain surveys to curb Delhi waterlogging

NDMC unveils robotic monsoon plan with CCTV GIS and drain surveys to curb Delhi waterlogging

NDMC has launched a technology-driven Monsoon Action Plan 2026 to reduce waterlogging across Delhi. The plan uses robotic drain surveys, GIS mapping and CCTV monitoring to track problem areas faster and improve desilting operations. Officials say vulnerable waterlogging points have already been reduced, strengthening preparedness for the coming rainy season.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 9 May 2026
IMD flags timely southwest monsoon as Australia shift boosts hopes for India rains

IMD flags timely southwest monsoon as Australia shift boosts hopes for India rains

India’s southwest monsoon may be on track this year, with IMD forecasts pointing to heavy rainfall and storms across parts of southern India over the next week. Weather agencies say intensifying pre-monsoon showers and shifting atmospheric patterns over Australia are aligning in a way that could support timely monsoon onset, offering early relief from the heat.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 8 May 2026
India April inflation seen rising to 3.8% as fuel costs bite Reuters poll says

India April inflation seen rising to 3.8% as fuel costs bite Reuters poll says

India’s retail inflation is forecast to climb to 3.8% in April from 3.4% in March, driven by higher fuel and LPG costs tied to the US Iran conflict, a Reuters poll says. Food inflation is expected to stay relatively soft, keeping the rate near the RBI’s 4% target, but high crude and a potential weak monsoon may lift prices later. Wholesale inflation could rise to 4.4%.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 8 May 2026

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Monsoon likely hits Andaman around May 20 but below average rains threaten kharif crops

Monsoon likely hits Andaman around May 20 but below average rains threaten kharif crops

The IMD expects the Southwest Monsoon to reach the Andaman and Nicobar Islands around May 20. With forecasts pointing to below average rainfall, farmers face uncertainty as the kharif sowing window starts in June. Timing and uneven rain distribution could delay planting of pulses and oilseeds, with potential knock-on effects for food inflation.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 8 May 2026
Nestle India flags Iran war risks holds prices despite inflation and weak monsoon forecast

Nestle India flags Iran war risks holds prices despite inflation and weak monsoon forecast

Nestle India said macro headwinds are rising, including Iran war-related risks, inflation pressure, and expectations of a weak monsoon. The company plans higher advertising, technology and capital expenditure to manage uncertainty, while maintaining price discipline. Even with these challenges, Nestle India reported strong growth in the March quarter and reiterated its focus on volume-led growth in core categories.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 3 May 2026
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