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Morgan Stanley Says India Can Hit 12% Nominal Growth as Earnings Resume After Six-Quarter Slump

Morgan Stanley Says India Can Hit 12% Nominal Growth as Earnings Resume After Six-Quarter Slump

Morgan Stanley believes India can lift nominal growth toward 12% even as a West Asia crude oil crisis squeezes the global outlook. The bank says earnings growth has already turned after a six-quarter mid-cycle slowdown and should improve further, supported by RBI and government reflationary steps such as rate cuts, bank deregulation, liquidity infusion, and targeted capex in energy, defence, semiconductors, fertilisers, and data centres. Challenges remain, including limited direct AI exposure for equities and AI disruption risks for services exports.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 15 May 2026
Bank of Baroda plans to double size in five years to outcompete global rivals

Bank of Baroda plans to double size in five years to outcompete global rivals

Bank of Baroda, India’s second-biggest state lender, says it aims to double its balance sheet within five years. CEO Debadatta Chand points to expected economic growth, rising credit demand, and a push into fee-based income. He also argues that scale and capital strength will be crucial as policymakers discuss creating even larger state-run banks.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 14 May 2026

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Iran war and fading tax boosts could drag India growth to 6.7% in FY27 BMI warns

Iran war and fading tax boosts could drag India growth to 6.7% in FY27 BMI warns

India’s growth is projected to cool in FY27 to 6.7% as the lift from recent tax cuts fades and crude oil prices rise. BMI warns these pressures could weigh on consumption and investment while nudging inflation higher. With weak economic momentum already visible, an Iran-linked oil shock and a potentially weaker monsoon add fresh downside risks.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 11 May 2026
S&P cuts India FY27 growth forecast to 6.6% as Iran war squeezes spending

S&P cuts India FY27 growth forecast to 6.6% as Iran war squeezes spending

S&P Global Market Intelligence has cut India’s FY27 growth forecast to 6.6%, citing fallout from the Iran war. The report warns that geopolitical stress is tightening fiscal space, limiting capital expenditure and potentially constraining infrastructure spending. While medium-term strength may come from services, manufacturing, and AI, debt-to-GDP is expected to climb in the near term.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 6 May 2026
India growth seen moderating to 6.6 in FY27 as energy shocks bite

India growth seen moderating to 6.6 in FY27 as energy shocks bite

India’s economic growth is forecast to cool to 6.6% in FY27, driven by external shocks including energy supply disruptions and higher oil prices. A new S&P outlook warns that reaching the Viksit Bharat target by 2047 will hinge on faster reforms in energy and food security, including a comprehensive energy storage policy to blunt future volatility.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 6 May 2026
Nifty rocked by 39 billion FII selloff yet BlackRock stays overweight on India

Nifty rocked by 39 billion FII selloff yet BlackRock stays overweight on India

Even as the Nifty faces a $39 billion foreign institutional investor selloff, BlackRock’s Ben Powell says he remains overweight on India. His view rests on normalized valuations and durable medium-term growth, supported by demographics and policy reforms. Powell argues the current foreign withdrawal is driven by short-term concerns—AI-driven risk appetite and an energy crunch—rather than a break in India’s fundamentals.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 6 May 2026

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Saint-Gobain to invest one billion dollars in India aiming to triple business within a decade

Saint-Gobain to invest one billion dollars in India aiming to triple business within a decade

French building materials firm Saint-Gobain plans to invest nearly $1 billion in India over the next five years, banking on population growth and rapid urbanisation. The company’s push across infrastructure projects reflects a broader shift toward emerging markets. Saint-Gobain says it aims to triple its business in India within ten years, underscoring long-term expansion ambitions.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 3 May 2026
Tim Cook hails India boom as iPhone growth surges and VC funding rebounds fast

Tim Cook hails India boom as iPhone growth surges and VC funding rebounds fast

Apple CEO Tim Cook said he is “over the moon” about India’s growth, pointing to rising middle-class demand and strong double-digit expansion across product categories. The March quarter brought standout iPhone momentum and record Services revenue, even as supply constraints and AI spending shape the outlook. Meanwhile, Indian VC activity snapped back in late April with funding more than doubling week-on-week, led by multiple $20M-plus rounds.

Summarised by Beize from a story on YourStory on 2 May 2026
Tim Cook calls India Apple’s biggest growth engine as Portkey acquisition shakes cybersecurity

Tim Cook calls India Apple’s biggest growth engine as Portkey acquisition shakes cybersecurity

In today’s ETtech Top 5, Tim Cook said India is one of Apple’s biggest growth engines, underscoring the company’s expanding focus on the market. Meanwhile, Palo Alto Networks is set to acquire Portkey, signaling fresh momentum in cybersecurity. Together, the moves highlight how tech giants are doubling down across consumer devices and security services.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 1 May 2026
Tim Cook Says Apple Can Still Grow Big in India as Middle Class Fuels Double Digit Sales

Tim Cook Says Apple Can Still Grow Big in India as Middle Class Fuels Double Digit Sales

Tim Cook, the outgoing Apple CEO, called India a “huge opportunity” as Mac, iPad, and iPhone sales keep growing at double-digit rates. He said Apple’s current smartphone and PC market share is still small, meaning room to expand with India’s growing middle class and many first-time Apple buyers. But supply constraints for some Macs and iPhones, plus rising memory costs, may pressure results.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Startup Talky on 1 May 2026

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Tim Cook is over the moon as Apple ramps up massive India growth plans

Tim Cook is over the moon as Apple ramps up massive India growth plans

Apple CEO Tim Cook says he’s “over the moon” about India, calling it a major growth opportunity. The iPhone maker is already seeing momentum in the country and has opened its sixth store, underscoring how India fits into Apple’s broader global expansion strategy.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 1 May 2026
Global consumer giants report double digit growth in India after volatile patch

Global consumer giants report double digit growth in India after volatile patch

Global consumer brands are upbeat about India again, with companies including Mondelez, Coca-Cola, Pernod Ricard, Reckitt Benckiser and Carlsberg posting double digit growth in the March quarter. The rebound follows recent volatility, and the article points to recent GST changes as a key boost to consumption. India remains a top growth market for these international firms.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 29 Apr 2026
India growth to soften first half FY27 then rebound later Nomura sees 6.8% full year

India growth to soften first half FY27 then rebound later Nomura sees 6.8% full year

Nomura expects India’s growth to slow in the first half of FY27 as supply disruptions weigh on activity, even as demand remains resilient. The economy is forecast to recover in the latter half, leading to 6.8% full-year growth. Supportive policies and easing trade tensions are tailwinds, but the Iran conflict is flagged as a key risk.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 27 Apr 2026
Reckitt delivers double digit India growth as Dettol and Durex surge

Reckitt delivers double digit India growth as Dettol and Durex surge

Reckitt reported double-digit growth for its India business in Q1 2026, driven by strong performances from Dettol and Durex. The company said the momentum came partly from expanding its coverage footprint. Globally, emerging markets like India and China led overall growth, and Reckitt expects continued strength in these regions.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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India can still grow above 7 percent even with crude at 100 a barrel

India can still grow above 7 percent even with crude at 100 a barrel

India’s economy could keep expanding above 7 percent a year even if crude oil stays elevated at about USD 90–100 per barrel, according to Assocham. The industry group points to historical patterns showing consumption-driven resilience and expects growth to remain strong through 2026–27, despite some global forecasts calling for a slowdown.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
April PMI jumps as India’s private sector shrugs off Iran war and oil shock

April PMI jumps as India’s private sector shrugs off Iran war and oil shock

India’s private sector activity expanded in April, with both manufacturing and services rebounding strongly, according to PMI data. The uptick came even as firms faced higher costs linked to the Middle East conflict and oil shock. Domestic demand stayed resilient, companies increased stockpiling, and employment improved, signaling confidence despite global risks.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
India growth seen at 6.5% but West Asia risks threaten inflation and rate cuts

India growth seen at 6.5% but West Asia risks threaten inflation and rate cuts

India’s economic growth is projected to hold near 6.5% this year, Gita Gopinath says, even as global uncertainty—especially the West Asia crisis—directly weighs on activity. She warns inflation may look contained only because firms are absorbing costs. That cushion could fade, pushing food prices higher. Oil shocks could spread across multiple sectors and even delay rate cuts.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
India D2C brands surge as Tier 2 and 3 cities drive 66 percent new orders

India D2C brands surge as Tier 2 and 3 cities drive 66 percent new orders

India’s direct-to-consumer brands are expanding faster than ever, powered largely by Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities. For FY26, these smaller markets are projected to contribute nearly 66% of new orders, lifting order volumes by 33% and increasing GMV by 32%. With the D2C sector expected to reach $60 billion by 2030, growth is shifting beyond metros.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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RBI warns of global financial turmoil while India growth stays steady says Shaktikanta Das

RBI warns of global financial turmoil while India growth stays steady says Shaktikanta Das

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das says the global economy is entering a fresh storm, with financial markets across countries thrown into turmoil. He notes stress is showing up across equity, bond and currency segments. Despite the global volatility, Das adds that economic activity in India remains stable, offering some cushion for the domestic outlook.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Civil Aviation Minister pushes India drone R and D drive to hit third largest market by 2030

Civil Aviation Minister pushes India drone R and D drive to hit third largest market by 2030

Civil Aviation Minister K Rammohan Naidu reviewed progress in drone research, development, and component manufacturing, outlining a push to accelerate India’s drone ecosystem. The review is aimed at strengthening local capabilities and scaling production, with a stated goal of making India the world’s third-largest drone market by 2030.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
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