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S&P Global trims 2026 growth to 2.4% and warns downside risks for economies including India

S&P Global trims 2026 growth to 2.4% and warns downside risks for economies including India

S&P Global cut its outlook for global real GDP growth to nearly 2.4% in 2026, down from 2.6% in its March forecast, citing higher energy prices, persistent geopolitical tensions, and weaker demand. The firm expects only a modest rebound in 2027 to about 2.7%. In Asia-Pacific, growth was revised lower on energy import exposure. For India, real GDP growth for FY 2026–27 was reduced to around 5.9%, driven by inflation, currency pressure, and costlier energy imports.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 16 May 2026
Fed flags Iran conflict and oil shock as top threats to inflation and global growth

Fed flags Iran conflict and oil shock as top threats to inflation and global growth

The Federal Reserve says a prolonged Iran conflict and the oil price shock it could trigger are the biggest risks to financial stability, ahead of other macroeconomic concerns. Policymakers warn that renewed geopolitical pressure may fan inflation and weigh on global growth, raising the odds of tighter monetary policy even as markets watch for direction.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 11 May 2026

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Jaishankar says India de risks the world economy with IMF backing and 17 percent global growth forecast

Jaishankar says India de risks the world economy with IMF backing and 17 percent global growth forecast

External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar, during a Caribbean tour, said India helps “de-risk” the international economy. He cited IMF projections that India will contribute about 17% of global growth in 2026. The minister added that India is still the fastest-growing major economy, supported by strong momentum and stabilising domestic inflation.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 8 May 2026
IMF warns Asia to brace for energy shock as Iran tensions reshape growth risks

IMF warns Asia to brace for energy shock as Iran tensions reshape growth risks

The IMF has warned Asian countries to keep their economic policies balanced amid escalating Middle East energy disruptions linked to the Iran conflict. It urged governments to build buffers for future shocks and favor targeted financial support rather than broad fuel subsidies. The IMF also cut its global growth outlook, warning that a prolonged crisis could trigger an additional slowdown.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 30 Apr 2026
Global growth seen slowing to 3.2% in 2026 as energy shock hits trade

Global growth seen slowing to 3.2% in 2026 as energy shock hits trade

S&P warns global growth could slow to 3.2% in 2026 as West Asia conflicts spark what it calls the largest energy shock on record. The crisis is disrupting shipping lanes and energy distribution, rippling into international trade and raising costs across supply chains.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
IMF cuts 2026 global growth as Middle East oil shock fuels inflation

IMF cuts 2026 global growth as Middle East oil shock fuels inflation

The IMF has trimmed its 2026 global growth forecast, citing the ripple effects of the war in the Middle East. It links the downgrade to a major oil price shock and warns that higher energy and food costs could push inflation upward, complicating the outlook for economies already facing fragile demand and tighter budgets.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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RBI warns globalization of inflation meets trade deglobalization as growth risks mount

RBI warns globalization of inflation meets trade deglobalization as growth risks mount

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das cautioned that inflation pressures are spreading globally even as trade trends move toward deglobalization. With risks to the global economy rising, multilateral institutions like the IMF have lowered growth projections and flagged recession dangers, raising uncertainty for policymakers and markets alike.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
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