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Petrol diesel price rise could ripple into inflation as freight and food costs surge say experts

Petrol diesel price rise could ripple into inflation as freight and food costs surge say experts

India’s latest petrol and diesel price increase could fan out into wider retail inflation, economists warn. Analysts estimate fuel hikes may add 10–25 basis points to headline CPI, with effects starting to show in May data and strengthening in June. Transporters expect road freight charges to rise 2.5–3% as diesel, tolls, tyres, maintenance and compliance costs climb. The squeeze may worsen further as rising milk prices stack on top of fuel-driven pressure on household budgets and food delivery.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 16 May 2026
Fuel price hike could lift inflation by 20 bps experts warn after ₹3 petrol diesel rise

Fuel price hike could lift inflation by 20 bps experts warn after ₹3 petrol diesel rise

Retail inflation in India may rise by 15–20 basis points in the coming months after a Friday fuel price hike of ₹3 per litre for petrol and diesel, analysts say. With petrol and diesel carrying 4.8% weight in the CPI, a 3–5% fuel increase could add 15–25 bps directly, plus 10–15 bps from transport, logistics and agricultural input costs. Effects will spread across May and June inflation, with broader impacts visible over 3–4 months.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026

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Bitcoin holds near 81K as ETF inflows and CLARITY Act optimism offset US jobs strength

Bitcoin holds near 81K as ETF inflows and CLARITY Act optimism offset US jobs strength

Bitcoin hovered near $81,000 on Monday even after stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts. Sentiment stayed supported as Bitcoin ETFs logged about $630 million in net inflows last week, while investors looked ahead to the Senate’s upcoming CLARITY Act vote for regulatory clarity. Analysts said this week’s direction will hinge on CPI data, Fed signals, and broader geopolitics, with oil moving sharply after US-Iran tensions adding to volatility.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 14 May 2026
RBI signals more rate pause as inflation stays near 6% and crude prices loom

RBI signals more rate pause as inflation stays near 6% and crude prices loom

A report by Elara Capital estimates India’s FY27E CPI inflation could average 4.8% to 4.9%, pointing to the RBI extending its current repo rate pause until inflation reaches the 6% mark. However, the outlook remains sensitive to crude oil, with prices above $100 flagged as a key upside risk for inflation and future rate decisions.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 13 May 2026
US stocks slip as hotter CPI and Iran tensions revive rate fears

US stocks slip as hotter CPI and Iran tensions revive rate fears

Wall Street edged lower as hotter than expected U.S. inflation and ongoing Middle East tensions weighed on investor sentiment. With CPI at a three-year high, traders are increasingly pricing in the Federal Reserve keeping rates steady for longer. While strong earnings offered some support, the inflation shock and geopolitical risk kept markets cautious.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 12 May 2026
US inflation jumps to three year high as April CPI surprises and rate cut bets wobble

US inflation jumps to three year high as April CPI surprises and rate cut bets wobble

US consumer prices climbed briskly again in April, marking the largest annual inflation increase in nearly three years. The data extends a second straight month of faster price growth, raising fresh questions about whether the US Federal Reserve can justify an interest rate cut soon. Markets now weigh the CPI shock against the Fed’s inflation and jobs targets.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 12 May 2026

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US inflation jumps to 3.8% as Iran war lifts energy prices higher

US inflation jumps to 3.8% as Iran war lifts energy prices higher

US consumer inflation rose to 3.8% year-on-year in April, up from 3.3% in March, aligning with expectations. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics said the jump reflects economic spillover from the Iran war, with energy prices playing a key role. The data signals tighter pressure on prices even as growth worries simmer globally.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 12 May 2026
TVK Secures Tamil Nadu Majority After Major Alliance Support From VCK CPI CPM Congress Reports Say

TVK Secures Tamil Nadu Majority After Major Alliance Support From VCK CPI CPM Congress Reports Say

Actor-turned-politician Vijay Thalapathy’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) has reportedly reached the majority needed to form government in Tamil Nadu. Sources say TVK’s position improves further with support from Congress as well as VCK, CPI(M), and CPI, reshaping the coalition arithmetic and bringing TVK closer to power.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 8 May 2026
Kharge urges CPI to back TVK for secular Tamil Nadu government

Kharge urges CPI to back TVK for secular Tamil Nadu government

Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge has asked the CPI to back TVK to form a secular government in Tamil Nadu, following Congress’ break with the DMK. CPI leaders are consulting allies, including the DMK, before deciding on support. TVK still needs additional seats to secure a majority, making the CPI’s stance crucial.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 8 May 2026
Tamil Nadu Governor Presses TVK Vijay on Numbers and Majority Claim Ahead of Govt Formation

Tamil Nadu Governor Presses TVK Vijay on Numbers and Majority Claim Ahead of Govt Formation

Tamil Nadu Governor Vishwanath Rajendra Arlekar reportedly questioned TVK chief Vijay at Lok Bhavan on how a government could be formed with 113 MLAs, pushing for clarity on stability and majority. CPI-backed Vijay, arguing that the single-largest party should get a chance to prove its majority on the Assembly floor, even as the next steps remain politically charged.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 7 May 2026

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MoSPI begins India first household income survey covering 4.5 lakh families for real earnings data

MoSPI begins India first household income survey covering 4.5 lakh families for real earnings data

The government has kicked off the National Household Income Survey NHIS 2026, led by the NSO under MoSPI, with field operations starting this April. The survey will gather earnings data from 4.5 lakh families to better study income inequality, improve the CPI, and measure how effectively welfare schemes are reaching people.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 6 May 2026
Bitcoin hovers near 77K before Fed decision as traders eye 80K breakout and squeeze risk

Bitcoin hovers near 77K before Fed decision as traders eye 80K breakout and squeeze risk

Bitcoin held steady around $77,000 on Wednesday, pausing ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s rate decision. Analysts say the next potential catalyst may be the April CPI report, which could quickly shift momentum. With price watchers focused on a possible move toward $80,000, traders warn it could ignite a major short squeeze if the breakout holds.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 29 Apr 2026
UK inflation jumps to 3.3% as Middle East war hits fuel prices

UK inflation jumps to 3.3% as Middle East war hits fuel prices

UK consumer inflation climbed to 3.3% in March, up from 3.0% in February, with officials pointing to the Middle East conflict’s first direct price impact. The sharpest pressure came from an 8.7% jump in motor fuel costs, while services inflation also rose to 4.5%, extending concern beyond energy into everyday expenses.

Summarised by Beize from a story on Republic on 24 Apr 2026
CPI may stay high longer as inflation stats keep pushing it above target

CPI may stay high longer as inflation stats keep pushing it above target

Retail headline inflation has jumped past the 4% target set by India’s Monetary Policy Committee, with CPI rising at its fastest pace since June last year. The MPC aims to keep inflation within a 4–6% band, but an ET View note warns CPI could remain elevated due to statistical factors, complicating the path back to target.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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