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Oil-driven inflation fears push US bond yields higher for longer as Fed chief Kevin Warsh faces pressure

Oil-driven inflation fears push US bond yields higher for longer as Fed chief Kevin Warsh faces pressure

Investors are bracing for US Treasury yields to stay elevated, driven mainly by oil prices rising amid a prolonged Middle East conflict and persistent inflation above the Fed’s target for nearly five years. Long-dated yields, including the 10-year benchmark, have surged—up about 45 basis points since early March and hitting an 11-month high. Higher borrowing costs could weigh on growth and equities, while Warsh must manage inflationary pressures beyond the Fed’s direct control.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026
SBI chief warns rapid digital lending can backfire unless trust and governance keep up

SBI chief warns rapid digital lending can backfire unless trust and governance keep up

SBI Chairman C S Setty cautioned that digital finance and platform lending are expanding quickly but may outpace trust, governance, and risk controls. He urged a balance between speed and safety, ensuring inclusion. Setty also said India’s development will require large-scale capital beyond what banks can provide, calling for deeper bond markets and more investor participation.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 11 May 2026

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Fed official says demand for US Treasury debt stays strong despite rising borrowing

Fed official says demand for US Treasury debt stays strong despite rising borrowing

New York Fed President John Williams said global demand for U.S. Treasury debt remains strong even as federal borrowing rises. He attributed the resilience to ongoing confidence in the U.S. economy and the reliability of Treasuries as a safe, liquid investment, especially as geopolitical risks continue to cloud investor sentiment.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 8 May 2026
Bond traders bet on a Fed rate hike before any cuts as uncertainty rises

Bond traders bet on a Fed rate hike before any cuts as uncertainty rises

Global bond traders are increasingly pricing in a potential Federal Reserve rate hike before any cuts, according to derivatives markets showing more than a 50% probability by April. The shift is linked to heightened policy uncertainty, greater hedging demand, and leadership transition risks, with Kevin Warsh expected to take charge amid pressure on the Fed to lower rates.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 6 May 2026
US Treasury raises Q2 borrowing outlook to 189 billion as cash flows disappoint

US Treasury raises Q2 borrowing outlook to 189 billion as cash flows disappoint

The US Treasury has lifted its estimate for current-quarter net borrowing to $189 billion after cash flows came in weaker than expected. For the next quarter, July-September, it projects $671 billion to be raised. Investors are watching for further updates, since changes in borrowing plans can influence rates and market expectations.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 5 May 2026
US bond markets split as Middle East war reshapes inflation growth bets

US bond markets split as Middle East war reshapes inflation growth bets

As the Middle East conflict enters its ninth week, U.S. fixed-income markets are showing a sharp divide. Investors are split on whether the war will lift inflation, weaken growth, or force the Federal Reserve to adjust policy sooner than expected. That uncertainty is driving contrasting expectations across bonds, sending mixed signals into the wider stock market outlook.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 29 Apr 2026

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Bank lending surges in FY26 as India corporate funding mix shifts sharply again

Bank lending surges in FY26 as India corporate funding mix shifts sharply again

In FY26, Indian businesses are leaning more on bank lending as the dominant source of corporate funding, hitting a three-year peak in total resource mobilisation. Though foreign capital and bond markets saw activity, their scale paled compared with banks. The shift signals a notable change in how companies are financing growth, with credit markets playing a bigger role again.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
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