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Japan JGB yields jump to record highs as inflation fears boost Bank of Japan hike expectations

Japan JGB yields jump to record highs as inflation fears boost Bank of Japan hike expectations

Japan’s government bond yields surged across the yield curve as markets increasingly bet the Bank of Japan will tighten policy. The 10-year JGB yield climbed up to 10 basis points to 2.73%, the highest since May 1997, while five- and 20-year yields touched all-time peaks. The move gained traction after data showed Japan’s wholesale inflation rose fastest in three years in April. Additional pressure came from rising US Treasury yields amid global inflation worries.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026
Japan wholesale inflation accelerates to 3-year high as Iran oil shock rattles BOJ rate hike bets

Japan wholesale inflation accelerates to 3-year high as Iran oil shock rattles BOJ rate hike bets

Japan’s wholesale inflation hit a nearly three-year high in April, fueled by surging energy and commodity costs tied to the Iran conflict. The corporate goods price index rose 4.9% year-on-year, beating expectations and signaling broader inflation pressure beyond imported fuel. Market pricing has intensified for a Bank of Japan move, with about a 70% chance of a rate hike at the June 15–16 meeting. Bond yields jumped to a 29-year high as the BOJ faces a tighter balancing act.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 15 May 2026

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OECD flags Bank of Japan rate surge to 2 percent by 2027 after inflation shift

OECD flags Bank of Japan rate surge to 2 percent by 2027 after inflation shift

The OECD expects the Bank of Japan to lift interest rates to around 2% by late 2027, signaling a break from decades of low inflation. The forecast points to improving wages and consumer demand that can support gradual borrowing cost hikes, alongside a likely reduction in bond purchases. If realized, it marks a major shift in Japan’s monetary era.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 13 May 2026
Bank of Japan signals faster rate hikes as oil shock lifts inflation pressures

Bank of Japan signals faster rate hikes as oil shock lifts inflation pressures

The Bank of Japan is moving toward a more hawkish stance as surging oil prices tied to the Iran conflict push inflation higher. Some policymakers are pressing for a rate hike as early as June, marking a potential shift away from Japan’s long low-interest-rate era. Markets are recalibrating expectations for tighter policy and meaningful changes ahead.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 12 May 2026
Japan turns hawkish to defend the yen with US help after massive currency intervention

Japan turns hawkish to defend the yen with US help after massive currency intervention

Japan is moving to halt the yen’s slide with a coordinated effort led by a more hawkish Bank of Japan, support from the Finance Ministry, and backing from the United States. Policymakers are increasingly intervening in currency markets, amid fears a weaker yen could stoke inflation. Estimates suggest authorities have spent close to 10 trillion yen buying yen to stabilize the currency.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 11 May 2026
Japan bond outflows surge as oil prices stoke inflation worries and rate bets shift

Japan bond outflows surge as oil prices stoke inflation worries and rate bets shift

Foreign investors dumped more than 1.8 trillion yen of Japanese bonds in the week ending April 25, citing rising oil-driven inflation fears and expectations around the Bank of Japan’s next moves. Yet the same investors continued their steady buying of Japanese stocks for a fourth straight week, highlighting a sharp split in sentiment.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 1 May 2026

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Nikkei slips from record high as BOJ stays hawkish yen rallies and bonds swing

Nikkei slips from record high as BOJ stays hawkish yen rallies and bonds swing

Japan’s Nikkei slipped off a record high as government bonds swung sharply and the yen strengthened. The move followed a hawkish tone from the Bank of Japan, which kept interest rates unchanged. Even without rate hikes, traders reacted to expectations of tighter policy, reshaping the day’s risk sentiment across equities and JGBs.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 28 Apr 2026
Yen holds steady as BoJ decision looms amid Fed bets and Iran war inflation fears

Yen holds steady as BoJ decision looms amid Fed bets and Iran war inflation fears

The Japanese yen stayed steady as investors waited for the Bank of Japan’s policy decision. With major central banks like the US Federal Reserve also set to meet, traders are watching closely for signals on rates. Uncertainty over how the Iran war could affect inflation and growth is keeping policymakers cautious, while Japan’s finance minister warned speculators about currency volatility.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 28 Apr 2026
JGB yields surge to 25 year highs as US Iran stance lifts inflation fears

JGB yields surge to 25 year highs as US Iran stance lifts inflation fears

Japanese government bond yields jumped sharply Thursday, with 10 year JGB yields hitting a 25 year high. Investors blamed President Trump’s comments about the continuing Iran conflict, expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike, a weaker yen, and higher oil prices that raise inflation fears and drive demands for higher yields.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026
Japan bond yields hit 29 year high as US Iran talks collapse and oil fears surge

Japan bond yields hit 29 year high as US Iran talks collapse and oil fears surge

Japan’s benchmark government bond yield has jumped to a 29-year peak as investors price higher inflation risk. Escalating oil prices follow the collapse of US-Iran peace talks, with concerns rising after a planned US Navy blockade near the Strait of Hormuz. Markets now watch the Bank of Japan closely for hints of potential interest rate hikes this month.

Summarised by Beize from a story on The Economic Times on 24 Apr 2026

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