Car companies are counting on about $2.3 billion in future tariff refunds, lifting first-quarter profits on paper despite uncertainty around when and how the money will actually arrive. The claims trace back to a Supreme Court ruling, but payment processing remains unclear. Automakers also face other headwinds, from Middle East instability to shifting U.S. trade policy that could draw President Trump’s ire.
Volkswagen’s finance chief Arno Antlitz says any US tariff refunds would deliver only minimal relief, likely in the small double-digit millions. That pales beside the automaker’s annual tariff bill of about 4 billion euros. Still, Volkswagen plans to pursue refunds—however limited their financial impact may be.
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Renault is reshaping its India business by creating a dedicated powertrain manufacturing unit, while merging vehicle manufacturing and sales under one structure. The reorganization is designed to strengthen India’s role as an export base, with Renault aiming for 2 billion euros in annual exports by 2030. The company says operations and stakeholder relationships will remain unaffected.
Maruti Suzuki is doubling down on small cars to drive growth in India’s price-sensitive market, aiming for volume even as rising costs squeeze fourth-quarter profits. While demand stays resilient, the automaker is also expanding its SUV lineup and exploring new export markets, betting that scale and affordability will protect long-term momentum despite margin pressure.
A West Asia ceasefire is expected to revive India’s luxury car market as executives at Mercedes-Benz, BMW Group, and Audi say customers who postponed purchases plan to return to showrooms. Companies have also pre-stocked parts to protect supply chains. With sentiment set to improve, sales are likely to strengthen in the coming months.
India’s GST Council has overhauled automobile taxation, replacing the old four-tier structure with a two-tier model by scrapping the Compensation Cess and increasing the base GST rate to 40%. The reform is meant to simplify compliance and rates, but uncertainty persists around how existing cess credits will be handled and whether consumers will actually see lower prices.
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