Metal stocks surged this week despite broader market volatility, lifting the Nifty Metal index around 4% as Adani Enterprises, Hindalco, and Vedanta climbed up to 11%. Analysts say investors should not chase momentum and instead look to buy on dips. The rally is linked to government increases in import duties on gold and silver to 15%, aimed at easing rupee pressure, plus industrial demand and supply disruptions—from copper-linked sulphuric acid issues to aluminium smelter disruptions in the Gulf.
S&P Global Ratings upgraded London-based Vedanta Resources Ltd to BB from B+, citing improved finances and cost efficiency after the group’s demerger. The agency also raised ratings on the company’s senior unsecured notes to BB- from B-. The stable outlook reflects expected better cash flows, proactive refinancing, and ongoing deleveraging. S&P pointed to stronger aluminium competitiveness, a ramp-up of the Lanjigarh alumina refinery, backward integration into bauxite mining, and a liquidity position supported by long-term banking lines and sizable cash balances.
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JPMorgan warns that worsening petroleum coke shortages could disrupt aluminium production worldwide, not just in the Gulf. The bank says a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz could impair supply of the critical smelting fuel, pushing some producers toward operational constraints or production cuts. Supply tightness is already visible, with a major deficit expected by 2026.
Mahindra & Mahindra’s Q4 FY26 results largely met top-line expectations, boosted by strong volume growth. Yet rising aluminium and steel costs are expected to pressure margins, with the full effect likely landing in Q1 FY27. Investors will also track how the company manages raw material inflation, alongside its EV roadmap and farm equipment demand amid El Niño conditions.
Vedanta expects a historic FY26 powered by record profitability in aluminium and zinc, with margins at 38% and 50%. The demerger became effective May 1, and management says all four new entities should trade by end-June. It also mapped a deleveraging route for Vedanta Resources, aiming to bring debt down to $3 billion over three years.
Vedanta says the US Israel and Iran conflict could push aluminium production costs up by $50 to $100 per tonne by H1FY27. Even with this geopolitical hit, the company expects aluminium output to climb to 2.6–2.7 million tonnes and alumina production to 4–4.1 million tonnes in FY27, betting capacity can outpace pressure.
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India has launched an investigation into imports of aluminium wire from Malaysia, triggered by the impending expiry of existing import duties in September. Indian firms have asked the government to reassess whether the protections should continue. The late Monday announcement signals a potential shift in how future trade terms for this metal product are set.
Ahmedabad-based HRS Aluglaze has secured fresh orders worth over Rs 26.94 crore from major clients including KEC International and Safal Goyal Realty. The company will supply aluminium composite cladding sheets and other aluminium products. Deliveries and execution are scheduled across the next three to twelve months, depending on project timelines.
Vedanta Aluminium is creating a manufacturing hub at its Aluminium Park in Jharsuguda, Odisha, with two companies signing MOUs to establish downstream facilities. The move is designed to deepen value addition, strengthen small businesses linked to the ecosystem, and draw new investment. The park is also projected to generate significant job opportunities for the region.
Small and medium aluminium recyclers have asked the PMO to remove the 2.5% import tax on aluminium scrap, citing surging costs and tight global supplies. They say the duty blocks access to reliable imported material, weakening their competitiveness and slowing downstream manufacturing. India’s secondary aluminium sector depends heavily on such imports, making the tax a key pain point.
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