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Exit poll track record in India from 2021: Assam and Kerala nailed, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu missed

Politics
Published on 29 April 2026
Exit poll track record in India from 2021: Assam and Kerala nailed, West Bengal and Tamil Nadu missed

Two states flipped predictions even after strong exit-poll signals

Exit polls for the 2026 Assembly elections in Kerala, West Bengal, Assam and Tamil Nadu are due today. The 2021 record offers a mixed lesson: Assam and Kerala were broadly in line with predictions, while West Bengal and Tamil Nadu diverged, with the TMC and DMK ending up winning despite earlier projections.

  • Assam and Kerala outcomes matched 2021 exit-poll expectations
  • West Bengal and Tamil Nadu results deviated from initial forecasts
  • TMC and DMK secured wins despite projection gaps
  • 2026 exit polls will be watched against this accuracy history
Read the full story at The Economic Times

This summarization was done by Beige for a story published on The Economic TimesThe Economic Times

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